Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 10

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, November 9, 2024

Our computer model predicts a victory for the Atlanta Falcons when they meet the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, Nov. 10 at 1 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Falcons are totaling 24.6 points per game offensively this year (12th in NFL), and they are giving up 24 points per game (20th) on defense. The Saints are accumulating 23 points per contest on offense this season (15th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 25.4 points per contest (25th-ranked) on defense.

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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Falcons (-3.5) Over (46.5) Falcons 27, Saints 22

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The Falcons have an implied moneyline win probability of 66.7% in this matchup.
  • Atlanta has covered the spread five times in nine games this season.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • A total of four out of nine Atlanta games this season have gone over the point total.
  • Falcons games this season have posted an average total of 46.3, which is 0.2 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Saints Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 37.7%.
  • New Orleans has compiled a 3-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Saints have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • In New Orleans’ nine contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times.
  • Saints games average 43 total points (postseason included), 3.5 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 24.6 24 21.7 24.8 30.3 22.3
Saints 23 25.4 24 27.3 22.2 24

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