Auburn vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – March 1
Published 2:38 pm Friday, February 28, 2025
Saturday’s game features the No. 1 Auburn Tigers (26-2, 14-1 SEC) and the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (19-9, 8-7 SEC) matching up at Rupp Arena (on March 1) at 1 p.m. ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in an 81-77 win for Auburn.
Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the spread (5.5) versus Auburn. The two sides are projected to come in below the 168.5 over/under.
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Auburn vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: ABC
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Lexington, Kentucky
- Venue: Rupp Arena
- Line: Auburn -5.5
- Point total: 168.5
- Moneyline (to win): Auburn -205, Kentucky +168
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Auburn vs. Kentucky Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Auburn 81, Kentucky 77
Spread & Total Prediction for Auburn vs. Kentucky
- Pick ATS: Kentucky (+5.5)
- Pick OU: Under (168.5)
Auburn is 17-11-0 against the spread this season compared to Kentucky’s 14-14-0 ATS record. The Tigers have hit the over in 17 games, while Wildcats games have gone over 15 times. The teams combine to score 170.7 points per game, 2.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Auburn is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its past 10 games, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
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Auburn Performance Insights
- The Tigers’ +467 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 16.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 85.1 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while giving up 68.4 per outing (75th in college basketball).
- Auburn ranks 30th in the country at 35.4 rebounds per game. That’s 6.8 more than the 28.6 its opponents average.
- Auburn makes 9.3 three-pointers per game (51st in college basketball), 3.4 more than its opponents (5.9).
- The Tigers’ 108.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank fourth in college basketball, and the 87.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 42nd in college basketball.
- Auburn has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 8.8 per game (seventh in college basketball play) while forcing 11 (220th in college basketball).
Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats’ +250 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by nine points per game) is a result of putting up 85.6 points per game (third in college basketball) while giving up 76.6 per contest (310th in college basketball).
- Kentucky grabs 34.8 rebounds per game (52nd in college basketball) while conceding 32.1 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.7 boards per game.
- Kentucky knocks down 9.9 three-pointers per game (27th in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents.
- Kentucky forces 9.8 turnovers per game (325th in college basketball) while committing 10.2 (79th in college basketball).
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