Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 24

Published 8:18 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are favored (-1.5) to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The matchup airs on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Hawks 115 – Heat 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Hawks (-2.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (230.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.8
  • The Hawks (27-30-0 ATS) have covered the spread 47.4% of the time, 1.9% more often than the Heat (25-30-0) this year.
  • Atlanta (5-15) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (25%) than Miami (10-15) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (40%).
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total 57.9% of the time this season (33 out of 57), which is more often than Miami’s games have (30 out of 55).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Hawks are 9-10, while the Heat are 8-16 as moneyline underdogs.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • The Hawks’ offense, which ranks seventh in the league with 117 points per game, has performed better than their third-worst defense (119.6 points allowed per game).
  • With 45 rebounds per game, Atlanta ranks 11th in the NBA. It surrenders 44.7 rebounds per contest, which ranks 20th in the league.
  • With 29.3 assists per game, the Hawks are second-best in the league in the category.
  • Atlanta is second-best in the NBA with 15.8 forced turnovers per game, but it ranks fifth-worst in the league by averaging 15 turnovers per contest.
  • The Hawks are making 13.1 threes per game (15th-ranked in NBA) this season, while putting up a 35% three-point percentage (20th-ranked).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat score 110.1 points per game and allow 110.9, making them 24th in the NBA on offense and eighth on defense.
  • Miami grabs 44.1 rebounds per game and give up 45.6 boards, ranking 17th and 24th, respectively, in the league.
  • The Heat are 16th in the league in assists (26.1 per game) in 2024-25.
  • Miami is the fifth-best team in the NBA in turnovers per game (12.6) and 24th in turnovers forced (12.5).
  • At 13.9 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.9% from downtown, the Heat are eighth and 15th in the league, respectively, in those categories.

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