NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24
Published 12:40 am Monday, February 24, 2025
The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) will try to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena as only 1.5-point favorites. The game airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.
To find the best bets you can make on Monday’s game, based on our computer predictions, see below.
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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info
- When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
- TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets
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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS
- The 24.2 points Trae Young has scored per game this season is 4.3 fewer than his prop total set for Monday (28.5).
- So far this season, Young is 27-for-53 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop.
- The Hawks are at the seventh spot in the NBA’s scoring rankings (117 points per game), while the Heat concede the eighth-lowest amount of points (110.9 per game).
- Atlanta has a 22-18 record when finishing with more points than 110.9.
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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS
- The 24.2 points Tyler Herro scores per game are 2.3 less than his prop total on Monday.
- Herro has had a points prop in 53 games this season, and has hit the over 29 times.
- Miami is the NBA’s 24th-ranked team offensively (110.1 points per game), while Atlanta is 28th-ranked on defense (119.6 conceded).
- Miami is 9-4 when scoring more points than 119.6.
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Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)
- Atlanta has beaten the spread 27 times in 57 games.
- Against the spread, Miami is 25-30-0 this season.
- As 1.5-point favorites or more, the Hawks are 5-15 against the spread.
- As 1.5-point underdogs or more, the Heat are 10-15 against the spread.
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Pick OU:
Under (231.5)
- The Hawks and their opponents have scored more than 231.5 points in 36 of 57 games this season.
- The Heat have combined with their opponent to score more than 231.5 points in 19 of 55 games this season.
- Atlanta has an average point total of 234.7 in its games this year, 3.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Miami has a 219.2-point average over/under in its matchups this season, 12.3 fewer points than this game’s point total.
- The Hawks are the seventh-highest scoring team in the league this year. The Heat have scored the 27th-most points.
- The Hawks are the NBA’s 29th-ranked scoring defense while the Heat are the third-ranked.
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Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)
- This season, the Hawks have won nine out of the 19 games, or 47.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- The Heat have won in eight, or 33.3%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- This season, Atlanta has won nine of its 19 games, or 47.4%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win six times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Hawks.
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