Sunday’s contest at Neville Arena has the Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-10) taking on the Auburn Tigers (12-16) at 3 p.m. (on March 2). Our computer prediction projects a 70-66 win for Mississippi State, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Auburn is a good bet to cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 5.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 134.5 total.

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Mississippi State vs. Auburn Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025
• Time: 3 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Auburn, Alabama
• Venue: Neville Arena
• Line: Mississippi State -5.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -225, Auburn +185

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Mississippi State vs. Auburn Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 70, Auburn 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Auburn

• Pick ATS: Auburn (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Mississippi State has a 4-7-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Auburn, who is 6-8-0 ATS. The Bulldogs are 5-6-0 and the Tigers are 7-7-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams combine to score 144.6 points per game, 10.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, Mississippi State is 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall while Auburn has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs have a +378 scoring differential, topping opponents by 13.0 points per game. They’re putting up 76.2 points per game to rank 37th in college basketball and are giving up 63.2 per contest to rank 146th in college basketball.
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by an average of 8.9 boards. It is grabbing 38.2 rebounds per game (ninth in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.3 per outing.
• Mississippi State makes 6.8 three-pointers per game (118th in college basketball) at a 32.8% rate (118th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 its opponents make while shooting 31.1% from beyond the arc.
• The Bulldogs average 91.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (67th in college basketball), and allow 75.4 points per 100 possessions (68th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State forces 16.3 turnovers per game (125th in college basketball) while committing 16.3 (242nd in college basketball action).

Auburn Performance Insights

• The Tigers have a +107 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.9 points per game. They’re putting up 68.4 points per game, 113th in college basketball, and are giving up 64.5 per outing to rank 180th in college basketball.
• Auburn pulls down 29.8 rebounds per game (279th in college basketball) while allowing 27.4 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.4 boards per game.
• Auburn connects on 3.7 three-pointers per game (340th in college basketball) while shooting 33.0% from deep (113th in college basketball). It is making 1.4 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 5.1 per game at 33.3%.
• Auburn has committed 16.3 turnovers per game (242nd in college basketball), 3.0 fewer than the 19.3 it forces (24th in college basketball).

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