Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
According to our computer model, the New Orleans Saints will defeat the Atlanta Falcons when they play at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 (at 1:00 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.
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The Falcons are totaling 307.3 yards per game offensively this year (20th in NFL), and they are surrendering 326.7 yards per game (18th) on the defensive side of the ball. The Saints rank ninth with 343.3 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 21st with 335.3 total yards allowed per game on defense.
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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Falcons a 60.8% chance to win.
- Atlanta has covered once in three games with a spread this season.
- The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
- The average total for Falcons games this season has been 45.2, 4.2 points higher than the total for this game.
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Saints Betting Info
- The Saints have a 43.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New Orleans has won two games against the spread this year.
- The Saints have won their only game this year when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- This season, games featuring New Orleans have gone over the point total twice.
- The average total points scored in Saints games this year (41) is five points higher than the total for this matchup.
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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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